Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Balear, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears
The Footlab AI model makes Eldense the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Atlético Baleares. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eldense wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?
On Elo ratings, Atlético Baleares has 2,006 points and Eldense 1,982.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Baleares vs Eldense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Baleares
3-5-2- 23J. Duran
- 20A. Bejarano
- 22U. Taffertshofer
- 8Jofre Cherta
- 6Gerardo Bonet
- 3Iván Serrano
- 2Gabriel Ramis
- 24Alejandro Cea
- 4J. Pol
- 17Guillem Castell
- 13Rivas
Eldense
4-2-3-1- 7Jorge Rastrojo
- 10Fidel
- 15Carlos Guirao
- 14J. Smith
- 33Aingeru Olabarrieta
- 24Javi Martínez
- 4F. Smand
- 5Alex Serradell
- 3Juan Larios
- 17Jesús Clemente
- 1Ramón Vila
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Baleares have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Eldense have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlético Baleares win, 0 draws, 1 Eldense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Eldense 2-1 Atlético Baleares | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Atlético Baleares 3-1 Eldense | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Eldense vs Atlético Baleares on Feb 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Baleares score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eldense score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Baleares | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Eldense | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eldense the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Atlético Baleares.
- Where and when is Atlético Baleares vs Eldense played?
- Atlético Baleares vs Eldense is played on October 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Balear, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.