Match

Atlético Central vs Linares Deportivo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, Sevilla

Atlético CentralLinares Deportivo

The Footlab model makes Atlético Central the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Linares Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Central vs Linares Deportivo?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Atlético Central (1,856) and Linares Deportivo (1,881).

Atlético Central win44 %
Draw30 %
Linares Deportivo win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Central have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Linares Deportivo have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Central
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Caudal(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Caudal(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Dos Hermanas(away)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 31, 2026Dos Hermanas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 23, 2026Bollullos(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Linares Deportivo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Dos Hermanas(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Melilla(away)4-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026Estepona(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Xerez Deportivo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Linares Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Central1.20.776/155/15
Linares Deportivo1.21.349/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Linares Deportivo3411149424547

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Central vs Linares Deportivo?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Central the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Linares Deportivo.
Where and when is Atlético Central vs Linares Deportivo played?
Atlético Central vs Linares Deportivo is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Central and Linares Deportivo

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