Marbella vs Real Betis II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella
The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Real Betis II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbella vs Real Betis II?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Marbella (1,799) and Real Betis II (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Real Betis II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 2-6 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Tarazona(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Antequera(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marbella win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Real Betis II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Real Betis II 0-1 Marbella | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Marbella 1-1 Real Betis II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Real Betis II 2-1 Marbella | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Marbella 2-2 Real Betis II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Real Betis II 5-1 Marbella | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Marbella 0-2 Real Betis II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Betis II vs Marbella on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis II score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Betis II | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Real Betis II?
- The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Real Betis II.
- Where and when is Marbella vs Real Betis II played?
- Marbella vs Real Betis II is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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