Match

Marbella vs Real Betis II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella

MarbellaReal Betis II

The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Real Betis II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbella vs Real Betis II?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Marbella (1,799) and Real Betis II (1,865).

Marbella win44 %
Draw26 %
Real Betis II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Real Betis II have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Teruel(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Alcorcon(away)2-6Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Eldense(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Sabadell(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Real Betis II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026FC Cartagena(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Tarazona(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Real Murcia(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026Antequera(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 24, 2026Atlético Madrid II(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marbella win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Real Betis II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Real Betis II 0-1 MarbellaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 27, 2025Marbella 1-1 Real Betis IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 15, 2025Real Betis II 2-1 MarbellaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 14, 2024Marbella 2-2 Real Betis IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 7, 2024Real Betis II 5-1 MarbellaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 26, 2023Marbella 0-2 Real Betis IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Real Betis II vs Marbella on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis II score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marbella1.51.837/157/15
Real Betis II1.71.8211/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Real Betis II?
The Footlab model makes Marbella the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Real Betis II.
Where and when is Marbella vs Real Betis II played?
Marbella vs Real Betis II is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Marbella and Real Betis II

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