Match

Tamaraceite vs Antoniano: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

TamaraceiteAntoniano

The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Antoniano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tamaraceite vs Antoniano?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Tamaraceite (1,862) and Antoniano (1,878).

Tamaraceite win46 %
Draw29 %
Antoniano win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamaraceite have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Antoniano have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tamaraceite
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Tenerife(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Guijuelo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026San Fernando CD(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026San Fernando CD(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Antoniano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Recreativo Huelva(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026Málaga II(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Yeclano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tamaraceite1.91.2410/158/15
Antoniano1.01.347/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Antoniano3412814384044

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tamaraceite vs Antoniano?
The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Antoniano.
Where and when is Tamaraceite vs Antoniano played?
Tamaraceite vs Antoniano is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tamaraceite and Antoniano

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