Recreativo Huelva vs Las Palmas II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Colombino, Huelva
The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Las Palmas II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Las Palmas II?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Recreativo Huelva (1,840) and Las Palmas II (1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo Huelva have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Las Palmas II have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Conil(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Recreativo Huelva win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Las Palmas II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2021 | Las Palmas II 3-3 Recreativo Huelva | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Recreativo Huelva 2-0 Las Palmas II | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas II vs Recreativo Huelva on Mar 3, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Las Palmas II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 25 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo Huelva vs Las Palmas II?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Las Palmas II.
- Where and when is Recreativo Huelva vs Las Palmas II played?
- Recreativo Huelva vs Las Palmas II is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.