Where and when is Estepona vs Don Benito played?

Estepona vs Don Benito is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estepona vs Don Benito: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona

Estepona

Don Benito

The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Don Benito. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estepona vs Don Benito?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Estepona (1,926) and Don Benito (1,911).

Estepona win45 %

Draw29 %

Don Benito win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estepona
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Real Madrid III(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	2-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Águilas(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Don Benito
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Moralo(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026	Diocesano(home)	8-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026	Villafranca(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026	Jerez(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026	Santa Amalia(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Estepona win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Don Benito win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2025	Estepona 1-1 Don Benito	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 22, 2024	Don Benito 1-2 Estepona	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 5, 2023	Estepona 0-0 Don Benito	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 18, 2022	Don Benito 0-2 Estepona	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Estepona vs Don Benito on May 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estepona	1.7	0.9	4	10/15	7/15
Don Benito	2.1	0.7	6	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Estepona	34	12	8	14	40	44	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Don Benito?: The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Don Benito.
Where and when is Estepona vs Don Benito played?: Estepona vs Don Benito is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.