Match

Atletico de Marbella vs Almería II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Atletico de MarbellaAlmería II

The Footlab AI model makes Atletico de Marbella the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico de Marbella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,219 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico de Marbella vs Almería II?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Atletico de Marbella (1,793) and Almería II (1,879).

42%30%28%
Atletico de Marbella winDrawAlmería II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atletico de Marbella vs Almería II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atletico de Marbella

Not enough data to predict the Atletico de Marbella lineup.

Almería II

4-3-3
  1. 7Luis Lara
  2. 35Lorenzo Sánchez
  3. MMarçal Casadevall Sánchez
  1. 37Joan Gázquez Llanes
  2. 21Antonio Jesús
  3. HHugo Martin
  1. RRené Pérez
  2. 26Paco Sanz
  3. 29Nacho Vila
  4. EEdu Pla
  1. 31Bruno Iribarne

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 05:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Atletico de Marbella have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Almería II have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico de Marbella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Churriana Vega(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Torre del Mar(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Almería II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Huétor Vega(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Granada II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Almería II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Motril(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Churriana Vega(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Atletico de Marbella(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Granada II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Málaga II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Atletico de Marbella wins, 1 draw, 0 Almería II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Almería II 2-2 Atletico de MarbellaTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Almería II vs Atletico de Marbella on Oct 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico de Marbella score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 10; Almería II score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atletico de Marbella0.71.324/103/10
Almería II1.31.158/156/15

Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico de Marbella sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (7 points from 10 matches) and Almería II sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Almería II1054114619
15Atletico de Marbella101457137

A question about Atletico de Marbella vs Almería II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico de Marbella vs Almería II?
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico de Marbella the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Almería II.
Where and when is Atletico de Marbella vs Almería II played?
Atletico de Marbella vs Almería II is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atletico de Marbella and Almería II