Alhaurino vs Mancha Real: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande
The Footlab AI model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Mancha Real. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alhaurino vs Mancha Real?
On Elo ratings, Alhaurino has 1,705 points and Mancha Real 1,658.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alhaurino vs Mancha Real
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alhaurino
4-3-3- AAlejandro Guerrero Martín
- II. Ndiaye
- DDiogo Rodrigues de Sousa
- MMiguel Ángel Lupiáñez Gómez
- VVíctor Rueda Pérez
- MManuel González Mora
- DDavid Sánchez Molina
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- FFran Moreno
- AAlejandro Jiménez Rios
- JJosé Manuel Pérez García
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mancha Real have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Alhaurino win, 2 draws, 0 Mancha Real wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mancha Real 0-0 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alhaurino 1-1 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Mancha Real 2-4 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Mancha Real vs Alhaurino on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mancha Real score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhaurino | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Mancha Real | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alhaurino sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (9 points from 9 matches) and Mancha Real sit 16th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Alhaurino | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Alhaurino vs Mancha Real?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Mancha Real?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alhaurino the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Mancha Real.
- Where and when is Alhaurino vs Mancha Real played?
- Alhaurino vs Mancha Real is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 21, 2027Granada IIvsChurriana Vega
- Feb 21, 2027Málaga IIvsMotril
- Feb 21, 2027Torre del MarvsHuétor Vega
- Feb 21, 2027UD San PedrovsArenas Armilla
- Feb 21, 2027Malaga CityvsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Feb 21, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsAlmería II
- Feb 21, 2027CantoriavsMelilla