Where and when is Málaga II vs Motril played?

Málaga II vs Motril is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Málaga II vs Motril: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga

Málaga II

Motril

The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Motril. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Málaga II vs Motril?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,779) and Motril (1,854).

Málaga II win38 %

Draw30 %

Motril win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Motril have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Motril
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Churriana Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Málaga II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Motril win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 23, 2025	Motril 0-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 13, 2024	Málaga II 5-0 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 11, 2024	Málaga II 1-1 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 1, 2023	Motril 2-0 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Mar 26, 2023	Málaga II 4-1 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 4, 2022	Motril 0-0 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Motril vs Málaga II on Feb 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15
Motril	1.2	0.8	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55	29	65

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Motril?: The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Motril.
Where and when is Málaga II vs Motril played?: Málaga II vs Motril is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.