Málaga II vs Motril: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga
The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Motril. The most likely score is 1-1. If Málaga II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Málaga II vs Motril?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,800) and Motril (1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Málaga II vs Motril
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Málaga II
4-3-3- JJuani
- JJuanma Hernández
- RRubén Sánchez
- 32Rafael Garrido
- 44Jesús Martin
- AAlejandro Valcarce
- 38Pablo Arriaza
- 32Miguel Ángel
- ÁÁngel Recio
- IIván Benito Mancera
- 30Andrés Céspedes
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Motril have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Granada II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Málaga II wins, 2 draws, 1 Motril win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Motril 0-1 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Málaga II 5-0 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Málaga II 1-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Motril 2-0 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Málaga II 4-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Motril 0-0 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Málaga II score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga II | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Motril | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Málaga II sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (11 points from 7 matches) and Motril sit 4th (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
A question about Málaga II vs Motril?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Motril?
- The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Motril.
- Where and when is Málaga II vs Motril played?
- Málaga II vs Motril is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027Atlético PorcunavsMarbelli
- Feb 21, 2027Granada IIvsChurriana Vega
- Feb 21, 2027AlhaurinovsMancha Real
- Feb 21, 2027Torre del MarvsHuétor Vega
- Feb 21, 2027UD San PedrovsArenas Armilla
- Feb 21, 2027Malaga CityvsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Feb 21, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsAlmería II
- Feb 21, 2027CantoriavsMelilla