Torre del Mar vs Huétor Vega: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar
The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Huétor Vega. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torre del Mar vs Huétor Vega?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,803) and Huétor Vega (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Huétor Vega have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Motril(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Martos(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Torre del Mar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Huétor Vega win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Huétor Vega 1-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Torre del Mar 3-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Huétor Vega 0-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Torre del Mar 1-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Torre del Mar 1-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Huétor Vega 1-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Torre del Mar on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torre del Mar sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (55 points from 34 matches) and Huétor Vega sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 55 |
| 10 | Huétor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Huétor Vega?
- The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Huétor Vega.
- Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Huétor Vega played?
- Torre del Mar vs Huétor Vega is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 21, 2027Granada IIvsChurriana Vega
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- Feb 21, 2027AlhaurinovsMancha Real
- Feb 21, 2027UD San PedrovsArenas Armilla
- Feb 21, 2027Malaga CityvsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Feb 21, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsAlmería II
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