Where and when is Atlético Porcuna vs Marbelli played?

Atlético Porcuna vs Marbelli is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Benito, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Porcuna vs Marbelli: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Benito, Porcuna

Atlético Porcuna

Marbelli

The Footlab model makes Atlético Porcuna the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Porcuna vs Marbelli?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Atlético Porcuna (1,716) and Marbelli (1,777).

Atlético Porcuna win40 %

Draw31 %

Marbelli win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Porcuna have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Marbelli have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Porcuna
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Motril(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Torre del Mar(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 25, 2026	El Palo(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	UD San Pedro(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Marbelli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Granada II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Tájar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	UD Melilla II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Atlético Porcuna win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marbelli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Marbelli 1-0 Atlético Porcuna	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 5, 2025	Atlético Porcuna 1-0 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 9, 2025	Atlético Porcuna 1-1 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 29, 2024	Marbelli 2-0 Atlético Porcuna	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Marbelli vs Atlético Porcuna on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Porcuna score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Porcuna	1.2	1.2	5	7/15	8/15
Marbelli	0.9	0.7	7	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Porcuna sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (46 points from 34 matches) and Marbelli sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36	28	51
9	Atlético Porcuna	34	14	4	16	41	39	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Porcuna vs Marbelli?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Porcuna the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Marbelli.
Where and when is Atlético Porcuna vs Marbelli played?: Atlético Porcuna vs Marbelli is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Benito, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.