Match

Granada II vs Churriana Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, Granada

Granada IIChurriana Vega

The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Churriana Vega. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Granada II vs Churriana Vega?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Granada II (1,725) and Churriana Vega (1,744).

Granada II win49 %
Draw27 %
Churriana Vega win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Churriana Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Granada II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mijas Las Lagunas(home)4-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Marbelli(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Mancha Real(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 18, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026Churriana Vega(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Churriana Vega
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Motril(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026Motril(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026El Palo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026UD San Pedro(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Alhaurino(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Granada II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Churriana Vega win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Granada II 2-2 Churriana VegaTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 7, 2025Churriana Vega 2-0 Granada IITercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Granada II vs Churriana Vega on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Churriana Vega score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Granada II1.71.7211/159/15
Churriana Vega0.91.357/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Granada II sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (44 points from 34 matches) and Churriana Vega sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Churriana Vega34141010324052
11Granada II34101410494744

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Granada II vs Churriana Vega?
The Footlab model makes Granada II the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Churriana Vega.
Where and when is Granada II vs Churriana Vega played?
Granada II vs Churriana Vega is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada CF, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Granada II and Churriana Vega

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