Where and when is Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela played?

Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, Libertad, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Midland

Atletico DE Rafaela

The Footlab model makes Midland the favourite at 55%, against 31% for a draw and 14% for Atletico DE Rafaela. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Midland (1,832) and Atletico DE Rafaela (1,767).

Midland win55 %

Draw31 %

Atletico DE Rafaela win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Midland have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico DE Rafaela have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Midland
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Temperley(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 19, 2026	Banfield(away)	2-2	Copa Argentina
Aug 14, 2026	Acassuso(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 7, 2026	Deportivo Maipu(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Almagro(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional

Atletico DE Rafaela
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Defensores De Belgrano(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Chacarita Juniors(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	San Martin S.J.(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	Nueva Chicago(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 17, 2026	Temperley(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Midland win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atletico DE Rafaela win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Atletico DE Rafaela 1-0 Midland	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Midland on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Midland score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico DE Rafaela score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Midland	1.3	0.9	5	8/15	4/15
Atletico DE Rafaela	0.5	0.9	8	3/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Midland sit 5th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 25 matches) and Atletico DE Rafaela sit 9th (35 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Midland	25	10	8	7	27	19	38
9	Atletico DE Rafaela	25	9	8	8	18	19	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela?: The Footlab model makes Midland the favourite at 55%, against 31% for a draw and 14% for Atletico DE Rafaela.
Where and when is Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela played?: Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.