Where and when is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato played?

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela, Provincia de Santa Fe

Atletico DE Rafaela

Patronato

The Footlab model makes Atletico DE Rafaela the favourite at 55%, against 31% for a draw and 14% for Patronato. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Atletico DE Rafaela (1,766) and Patronato (1,709).

Atletico DE Rafaela win55 %

Draw31 %

Patronato win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico DE Rafaela have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Patronato have 2, 9 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico DE Rafaela
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Club Atlético Güemes(away)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 14, 2026	Defensores De Belgrano(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Chacarita Juniors(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	San Martin S.J.(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	Nueva Chicago(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional

Patronato
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gimnasia Jujuy(home)	3-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Colon Santa Fe(away)	0-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Colegiales(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Quilmes(home)	3-3	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Midland(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atletico DE Rafaela win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Patronato win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 14, 2026	Patronato 0-0 Atletico DE Rafaela	Primera Nacional
Dec 17, 2016	Atletico DE Rafaela 3-0 Patronato	Liga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico DE Rafaela score 0.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Patronato score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atletico DE Rafaela	0.5	0.7	9	2/15	1/15
Patronato	1.1	1.3	2	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico DE Rafaela sit 8th in Primera Nacional (36 points from 26 matches) and Patronato sit 17th (25 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Atletico DE Rafaela	26	9	9	8	18	19	36
17	Patronato	25	4	13	8	21	29	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?: The Footlab model makes Atletico DE Rafaela the favourite at 55%, against 31% for a draw and 14% for Patronato.
Where and when is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato played?: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.