Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Turégano: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético MansillésTurégano

The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Turégano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Mansillés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Turégano?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,753) and Turégano (1,713).

43%30%27%
Atlético Mansillés winDrawTurégano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atlético Mansillés vs Turégano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atlético Mansillés

Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mansillés lineup.

Turégano

4-3-3
  1. 7Alcubilla
  2. 10Juan Núñez
  3. 11Carlos Cotrina
  1. 5David Aguado
  2. 14Guillermo Martín Duque
  3. 20Adri González
  1. 3David Arranz Sanz
  2. 2Javier García
  3. 4Julio Gómez
  4. 16Marcos San Miguel
  1. 1Álvaro González

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Turégano have 3, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 31, 2026Villaralbo(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 24, 2026Arandina(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 17, 2026Unionistas II(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 10, 2026La Virgen del Camino(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Turégano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Burgos Promesas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 1, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 24, 2026Palencia CF(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 17, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 10, 2026Villaralbo(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Atlético Mansillés win, 0 draws, 0 Turégano wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Turégano 1-2 Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Turégano vs Atlético Mansillés on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Turégano score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés1.30.958/155/15
Turégano1.21.528/136/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Mansillés sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (13 points from 9 matches) and Turégano sit 13th (11 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Atlético Mansillés9342121013
13Turégano10253121311

A question about Atlético Mansillés vs Turégano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Turégano?
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Turégano.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Turégano played?
Atlético Mansillés vs Turégano is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Mansillés and Turégano