Bembibre vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre
The Footlab AI model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cristo Atlético wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bembibre vs Cristo Atlético?
Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bembibre vs Cristo Atlético
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Cristo Atlético
Not enough data to predict the Cristo Atlético lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bembibre win, 2 draws, 3 Cristo Atlético wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 0-2 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 2-0 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bembibre 0-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Bembibre 1-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Cristo Atlético 2-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Cristo Atlético 1-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Bembibre on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cristo Atlético score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Cristo Atlético | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bembibre sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 7 matches) and Cristo Atlético sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristo Atlético | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Bembibre vs Cristo Atlético?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Cristo Atlético?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Bembibre vs Cristo Atlético played?
- Bembibre vs Cristo Atlético is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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