Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés played?

Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Cristo Atlético

Atlético Mansillés

The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Cristo Atlético (1,866) and Atlético Mansillés (1,785).

Cristo Atlético win52 %

Draw29 %

Atlético Mansillés win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cristo Atlético
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Laredo(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Atlético Mansillés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mojados(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cristo Atlético win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Atlético Mansillés 0-2 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 5, 2025	Cristo Atlético 1-2 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 17, 2025	Atlético Mansillés 1-1 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 30, 2024	Cristo Atlético 3-0 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cristo Atlético	1.5	0.8	5	8/15	5/15
Atlético Mansillés	0.9	0.9	7	5/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cristo Atlético	34	21	5	8	48	24	68
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	31	27	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés?: The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Atlético Mansillés.
Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés played?: Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.