Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 · Matchday 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab AI model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,082 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés?
On Elo ratings, Cristo Atlético has 1,982 points and Atlético Mansillés 1,884.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cristo Atlético
Not enough data to predict the Cristo Atlético lineup.
Atlético Mansillés
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mansillés lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Cristo Atlético wins, 2 draws, 1 Atlético Mansillés win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 1-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 0-2 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 1-2 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atlético Mansillés 1-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cristo Atlético 3-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Cristo Atlético on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cristo Atlético score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristo Atlético | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Atlético Mansillés | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cristo Atlético sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (23 points from 10 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 11th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cristo Atlético | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 11 | Atlético Mansillés | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Atlético Mansillés.
- Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés played?
- Cristo Atlético vs Atlético Mansillés is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027AlmazánvsArandina
- Jan 24, 2027Burgos PromesasvsColegios Diocesanos
- Jan 24, 2027Cultural Leonesa IIvsPalencia CF
- Jan 24, 2027Mirandés IIvsBembibre
- Jan 24, 2027Salamanca IIvsUnionistas II
- Jan 24, 2027UD Santa MartavsVillaralbo
- Jan 24, 2027TuréganovsGuijuelo
- Jan 24, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsLa Virgen del Camino