Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Unionistas II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético MansillésUnionistas II

The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Unionistas II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Unionistas II?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Atlético Mansillés (1,785) and Unionistas II (1,708).

Atlético Mansillés win51 %
Draw29 %
Unionistas II win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Unionistas II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Mojados(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Almazán(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Almazán(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Palencia CF(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Unionistas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Guijuelo(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Numancia II(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Villaralbo(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Unionistas II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 4, 2026Unionistas II 2-2 Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 13, 2025Atlético Mansillés 0-0 Unionistas IITercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Unionistas II vs Atlético Mansillés on Mar 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas II score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés0.90.975/153/15
Unionistas II1.61.348/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Unionistas II sit 15th (31 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Atlético Mansillés3415127312757
15Unionistas II3461315324331

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Unionistas II?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Unionistas II.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Unionistas II played?
Atlético Mansillés vs Unionistas II is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atlético Mansillés and Unionistas II

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