Where and when is Guijuelo vs La Virgen del Camino played?

Guijuelo vs La Virgen del Camino is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Guijuelo vs La Virgen del Camino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo

Guijuelo

La Virgen del Camino

The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for La Virgen del Camino. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guijuelo vs La Virgen del Camino?

Guijuelo starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,712).

Guijuelo win68 %

Draw21 %

La Virgen del Camino win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; La Virgen del Camino have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guijuelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Unionistas II(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	Ribert(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs

La Virgen del Camino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Mojados(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	Arandina(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Guijuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 La Virgen del Camino win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	Guijuelo 3-1 La Virgen del Camino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 13, 2025	La Virgen del Camino 2-2 Guijuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 13, 2022	Guijuelo 3-0 La Virgen del Camino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 30, 2021	La Virgen del Camino 0-3 Guijuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Guijuelo vs La Virgen del Camino on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; La Virgen del Camino score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guijuelo	1.7	1.3	4	10/15	9/15
La Virgen del Camino	0.9	1.4	4	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guijuelo sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (70 points from 34 matches) and La Virgen del Camino sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Guijuelo	34	21	7	6	54	26	70
9	La Virgen del Camino	34	12	8	14	31	37	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs La Virgen del Camino?: The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for La Virgen del Camino.
Where and when is Guijuelo vs La Virgen del Camino played?: Guijuelo vs La Virgen del Camino is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.