Calasanz de Soria vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calasanz de Soria vs Palencia CF?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Calasanz de Soria have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 31, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 23, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 64 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calasanz de Soria vs Palencia CF?
- The Footlab model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Palencia CF.
- Where and when is Calasanz de Soria vs Palencia CF played?
- Calasanz de Soria vs Palencia CF is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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