Where and when is Almazán vs Burgos Promesas played?

Almazán vs Burgos Promesas is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almazán vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán

Almazán

Burgos Promesas

The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almazán vs Burgos Promesas?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Almazán (1,762) and Burgos Promesas (1,815).

Almazán win42 %

Draw28 %

Burgos Promesas win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almazán
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2026	La Virgen del Camino(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almazán win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Burgos Promesas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2025	Almazán 0-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 14, 2024	Burgos Promesas 1-1 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 14, 2024	Almazán 1-0 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 26, 2023	Burgos Promesas 1-0 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 31, 2021	Almazán 0-3 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 7, 2020	Burgos Promesas 2-1 Almazán	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Burgos Promesas on Apr 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almazán	1.7	0.9	4	7/15	7/15
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Almazán	34	12	12	10	49	38	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Burgos Promesas?: The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Burgos Promesas.
Where and when is Almazán vs Burgos Promesas played?: Almazán vs Burgos Promesas is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.