Match

Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Cristo AtléticoVillaralbo

The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Villaralbo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo?

Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,862 vs 1,725).

Cristo Atlético win61 %
Draw25 %
Villaralbo win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Villaralbo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cristo Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Laredo(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Palencia CF(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Palencia CF(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Guijuelo(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cristo Atlético win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Villaralbo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Cristo Atlético 2-0 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 6, 2025Villaralbo 0-2 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 9, 2025Villaralbo 0-0 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 28, 2024Cristo Atlético 0-0 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 2, 2024Cristo Atlético 2-0 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 14, 2023Villaralbo 0-1 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cristo Atlético1.50.858/155/15
Villaralbo1.11.248/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Villaralbo sit 11th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cristo Atlético342158482468
11Villaralbo3411914293742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo?
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Villaralbo.
Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo played?
Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cristo Atlético and Villaralbo

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