Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Villaralbo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo?
Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,862 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Villaralbo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cristo Atlético win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Villaralbo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Cristo Atlético 2-0 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Villaralbo 0-2 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Villaralbo 0-0 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Cristo Atlético 0-0 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Cristo Atlético 2-0 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Villaralbo 0-1 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristo Atlético | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Villaralbo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Villaralbo sit 11th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cristo Atlético | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 68 |
| 11 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 37 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo?
- The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Villaralbo.
- Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo played?
- Cristo Atlético vs Villaralbo is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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