Atletico-MG vs Bahia: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on July 21, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Atletico-MG and Bahia drew 1-1 on July 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′Ruan TressoldiAtletico-MG
- 57′AdemirBahia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Atletico-MG win at 45%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Bahia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-3-3- 28T. Cuello
- 9M. Cassierra
- 11Bernard
- 30Victor Hugo
- 25T. Pérez
- 8Maycon
- 6Renan Lodi
- 4Ruan Tressoldi
- 13Lyanco
- 2Natanael
- 22Everson
Bahia
4-3-3- 16Erick Pulga
- 12Willian José
- 7Ademir
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 5N. Acevedo
- 14Erick
- 66Zé Guilherme
- 21S. Ramos
- 33David Duarte
- 31Roman Gomez
- 1Ronaldo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bahia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2026 | Puerto Cabello(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 24, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 16, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 25, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| May 17, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 14, 2026 | Remo(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico-MG wins, 1 draw, 3 Bahia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | Atletico-MG 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Bahia 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Bahia 3-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Atletico-MG 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Bahia 4-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bahia | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (47 points from 30 matches) and Bahia sit 5th (49 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 49 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Bahia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy