Botafogo vs Santos: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on July 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Botafogo vs Santos?
Botafogo won 2-1 on July 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 41′668278Botafogo
- 57′Á. BarrealSantos
- 90′K. BarriaBotafogo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Botafogo win at 55%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 2-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Santos have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2026 | Caracas FC(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 17, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2026 | San Lorenzo(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 17, 2026 | Coritiba(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Botafogo win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Santos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Botafogo 2-2 Santos | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Santos 0-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Botafogo 1-1 Santos | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Santos 2-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Nov 10, 2022 | Botafogo 3-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Jul 21, 2022 | Santos 2-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Santos score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 2.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Santos | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 11th in Serie A (30 points from 22 matches) and Santos sit 14th (26 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 14 | Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 36 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy