Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie AMatchday 19Kick-off on July 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Atletico Paranaense won 1-2 on July 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 19′ArturSao Paulo
- 46′LeozinhoAtletico Paranaense
- 51′LeozinhoAtletico Paranaense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sao Paulo win at 48%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
4-3-3- 10Luciano
- 9J. Calleri
- 37Artur
- 8Marcos Antônio
- 29Pablo Maia
- 16D. Bobadilla
- 18Wendell
- 2R. Tolói
- 5R. Arboleda
- 19Lucas Ramon
- 23Rafael
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1- 9K. Viveros
- 8João Cruz
- 21Leozinho
- 7S. Mendoza
- 14Luiz Gustavo
- 16Jádson
- 12Gilberto
- 37L. Esquivel
- 33J. Aguirre
- 4Arthur Dias
- 23Santos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Remo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 16, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 24, 2026 | Remo(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 17, 2026 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 14, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 10, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sao Paulo wins, 1 draw, 1 Atletico Paranaense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2025 | Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Sao Paulo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo on Aug 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 10th in Serie A (44 points from 34 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 5th (54 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 54 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 44 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy