Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on July 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
Vitoria won 1-0 on July 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 69′Renato KayzerVitoria
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Vitoria win at 60%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 1-0.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Vasco DA Gama have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 30, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2026 | ABC(away) | 4-3 | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 23, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2026 | Barracas Central(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 24, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2026 | Olimpia(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 16, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vitoria win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Vasco DA Gama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama 4-3 Vitoria | Serie A |
| May 10, 2025 | Vitoria 2-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Vitoria 0-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie A |
| May 12, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama 2-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Vasco DA Gama 0-3 Vitoria | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Vitoria 0-1 Vasco DA Gama | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria on Oct 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vasco DA Gama score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 12th in Serie A (29 points from 23 matches) and Vasco DA Gama sit 19th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 29 |
| 19 | Vasco DA Gama | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy