Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Badajoz played?

Atlético Paso vs Badajoz is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Paso vs Badajoz: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso

Atlético Paso

Badajoz

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Badajoz?

Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,872).

Atlético Paso win34 %

Draw30 %

Badajoz win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Badajoz have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Paso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Herbania(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Las Palmas III(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	Telde(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026	Marino(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Badajoz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Cuarte(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Cuarte(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Moralo(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026	Moralo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026	Jaraíz(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Atlético Paso win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Badajoz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 21, 2024	Badajoz 0-1 Atlético Paso	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 10, 2023	Atlético Paso 1-0 Badajoz	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Badajoz vs Atlético Paso on Jan 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Paso	1.4	0.4	9	6/15	4/15
Badajoz	2.5	0.7	8	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Badajoz?: The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Paso.
Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Badajoz played?: Atlético Paso vs Badajoz is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.