Atlético Paso vs Badajoz: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Badajoz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Paso vs Badajoz?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Paso vs Badajoz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Paso
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Paso lineup.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Badajoz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Atlético Paso wins, 0 draws, 0 Badajoz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Badajoz 0-1 Atlético Paso | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Atlético Paso 1-0 Badajoz | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Badajoz vs Atlético Paso on Jan 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Paso | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Badajoz | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Badajoz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Atlético Paso vs Badajoz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Badajoz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Atlético Paso.
- Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Badajoz played?
- Atlético Paso vs Badajoz is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Sevilla AtleticovsTenerife II
- Oct 25, 2026Don BenitovsLinares Deportivo
- Oct 25, 2026Recreativo HuelvavsAntoniano
- Oct 25, 2026SanluqueñovsLas Palmas II
- Oct 25, 2026XerezvsMarbella
- Oct 25, 2026EsteponavsCiudad de Lucena
- Oct 25, 2026Mijas Las LagunasvsReal Betis II
- Oct 25, 2026Atlético CentralvsTamaraceite