Match

Atlético Paso vs Ciudad de Lucena: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso

Atlético PasoCiudad de Lucena

The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ciudad de Lucena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Paso wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Ciudad de Lucena?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,867) and Ciudad de Lucena (1,959).

38%30%32%
Atlético Paso winDrawCiudad de Lucena win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atlético Paso vs Ciudad de Lucena

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atlético Paso

4-3-3
  1. 10I. Villoslada
  2. 19A. Hernandez
  3. 9Aythami Perera
  1. 16S. Casais
  2. 22F. Jose Perdomo Borges
  3. 21G. Roque
  1. 2Marc Vilaplana
  2. 15Matías Oscar Pezzolesi
  3. 12I. Hernandez
  4. 20A. Ortola
  1. 13E. Loscos

Ciudad de Lucena

Not enough data to predict the Ciudad de Lucena lineup.

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ciudad de Lucena have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Paso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 27, 2026Cordoba(home)3-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Real Ávila(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026Conquense(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026CF Talavera(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Ciudad de Lucena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Sanluqueño(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 27, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Estepona(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Xerez(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Don Benito(home)4-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Lucena score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Paso1.11.158/156/15
Ciudad de Lucena1.80.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Ciudad de Lucena953116918

A question about Atlético Paso vs Ciudad de Lucena?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Ciudad de Lucena?
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ciudad de Lucena.
Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Ciudad de Lucena played?
Atlético Paso vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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