Match

Las Palmas II vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas IIMarbella

The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas II vs Marbella?

On Elo ratings, Las Palmas II has 1,822 points and Marbella 1,779.

57%26%17%
Las Palmas II winDrawMarbella win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Las Palmas II vs Marbella

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Las Palmas II

4-3-3
  1. 34Diego Martín
  2. IIván Medina
  3. 40Elías Romero
  1. CCarlos Navarro Marín
  2. FFernando Moreno
  3. 33Sergio Viera
  1. 32Valentino
  2. BBrian Velázquez Cardona
  3. 34Saliou
  4. 33Álvaro Manuel Santana Hernández
  1. 30Álvaro Killane

Marbella

4-3-3
  1. 19E. Ohemeng
  2. 24D. Selma
  3. 11Pablo Moreno
  1. 22J. Rodriguez
  2. 36D. Revuelta
  3. 35I. Gonzalez
  1. 23Alberto Escassi
  2. 4Adri Castellano
  3. 15Gabri Clemente
  4. 31D. Pineda
  1. 1Manu García

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Marbella have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Puente Genil(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Tenerife II(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Badajoz(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Marbella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Estepona(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Badajoz(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Real Betis II(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Puente Genil(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Atlético Central(home)4-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Las Palmas II wins, 2 draws, 0 Marbella wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2021Marbella 0-0 Las Palmas IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 6, 2020Las Palmas II 1-1 MarbellaPrimera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Las Palmas II on Mar 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas II score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Palmas II0.71.537/158/15
Marbella1.21.836/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Palmas II sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (5 points from 7 matches) and Marbella sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Marbella7133696
17Las Palmas II71243115

A question about Las Palmas II vs Marbella?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas II vs Marbella?
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Marbella.
Where and when is Las Palmas II vs Marbella played?
Las Palmas II vs Marbella is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?