Where and when is Las Palmas II vs Marbella played?

Las Palmas II vs Marbella is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Las Palmas II vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas II

Marbella

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas II vs Marbella?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Las Palmas II (1,870) and Marbella (1,803).

Las Palmas II win51 %

Draw28 %

Marbella win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas II have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Socuéllamos(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Orihuela(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Getafe II(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026	Real Madrid III(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Las Palmas II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Marbella win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2021	Marbella 0-0 Las Palmas II	Primera División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 6, 2020	Las Palmas II 1-1 Marbella	Primera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Las Palmas II on Mar 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas II	1.1	1.5	2	10/15	9/15
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas II vs Marbella?: The Footlab model makes Las Palmas II the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Marbella.
Where and when is Las Palmas II vs Marbella played?: Las Palmas II vs Marbella is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.