Where and when is Badajoz vs Xerez played?

Badajoz vs Xerez is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Badajoz vs Xerez: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz

Badajoz

Xerez

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Badajoz vs Xerez?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Badajoz (1,996) and Xerez (1,930).

Badajoz win52 %

Draw28 %

Xerez win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Badajoz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Cuarte(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Cuarte(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Moralo(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026	Moralo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026	Jaraíz(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Badajoz	2.5	0.7	8	6/15	10/15
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Xerez?: The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Xerez.
Where and when is Badajoz vs Xerez played?: Badajoz vs Xerez is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.