Atlético Central vs Don Benito: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Atlético Central the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Don Benito. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Central vs Don Benito?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Atlético Central (1,856) and Don Benito (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Central have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 31, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 23, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Diocesano(home) | 8-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jerez(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Central | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Don Benito | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Don Benito | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 51 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Central vs Don Benito?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Central the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Don Benito.
- Where and when is Atlético Central vs Don Benito played?
- Atlético Central vs Don Benito is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.