Where and when is Estepona vs Tenerife II played?

Estepona vs Tenerife II is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Estepona vs Tenerife II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona

Estepona

Tenerife II

The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Tenerife II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estepona vs Tenerife II?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Estepona (1,931) and Tenerife II (1,850).

Estepona win52 %

Draw27 %

Tenerife II win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Tenerife II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estepona
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Real Madrid III(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	2-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Águilas(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Tenerife II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2026	Tenerife(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	SS Reyes(home)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	CD Coria(home)	4-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Elche II(home)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Estepona	1.7	0.9	4	10/15	7/15
Tenerife II	1.8	2.0	3	9/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Estepona	34	12	8	14	40	44	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Tenerife II?: The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Tenerife II.
Where and when is Estepona vs Tenerife II played?: Estepona vs Tenerife II is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.