Match

Tamaraceite vs Sanluqueño: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

TamaraceiteSanluqueño

The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tamaraceite vs Sanluqueño?

Tamaraceite starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,755).

Tamaraceite win56 %
Draw27 %
Sanluqueño win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamaraceite have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sanluqueño have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tamaraceite
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Tenerife(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Guijuelo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026San Fernando CD(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026San Fernando CD(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sanluqueño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Villarreal II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Teruel(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 9, 2026Algeciras(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Ibiza(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Alcorcon(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tamaraceite win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sanluqueño win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2021Tamaraceite 0-0 SanluqueñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 6, 2020Sanluqueño 0-0 TamaraceitePrimera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Tamaraceite vs Sanluqueño on Mar 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tamaraceite1.91.2410/158/15
Sanluqueño0.51.545/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tamaraceite vs Sanluqueño?
The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Sanluqueño.
Where and when is Tamaraceite vs Sanluqueño played?
Tamaraceite vs Sanluqueño is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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