Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Estepona played?

Atlético Paso vs Estepona is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Paso vs Estepona: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso

Atlético Paso

Estepona

The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Estepona. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Estepona?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,873) and Estepona (1,928).

Atlético Paso win41 %

Draw30 %

Estepona win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Estepona have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Paso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Herbania(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Las Palmas III(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	Telde(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026	Marino(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Estepona
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Real Madrid III(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	2-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Águilas(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Atlético Paso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Estepona win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 26, 2023	Atlético Paso 0-1 Estepona	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 30, 2022	Estepona 3-1 Atlético Paso	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Atlético Paso vs Estepona on Mar 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Paso	1.4	0.4	9	6/15	4/15
Estepona	1.7	0.9	4	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Estepona	34	12	8	14	40	44	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Estepona?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Estepona.
Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Estepona played?: Atlético Paso vs Estepona is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.