Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Marbella played?

Atlético Paso vs Marbella is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Paso vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso

Atlético Paso

Marbella

The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Marbella?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,872) and Marbella (1,799).

Atlético Paso win53 %

Draw27 %

Marbella win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Paso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Herbania(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Las Palmas III(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	Telde(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026	Marino(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Paso	1.4	0.4	9	6/15	4/15
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Marbella?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Marbella.
Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Marbella played?: Atlético Paso vs Marbella is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.