Match

Atlético Paso vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso

Atlético PasoSevilla Atletico

The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Sevilla Atletico?

Atlético Paso starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,762).

Atlético Paso win56 %
Draw27 %
Sevilla Atletico win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Paso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Herbania(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Panadería Pulido(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026Telde(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026Marino(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sevilla Atletico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Alcorcon(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Eldense(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026Gimnastic(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Algeciras(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Paso1.40.496/154/15
Sevilla Atletico0.61.527/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Sevilla Atletico?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Sevilla Atletico.
Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Sevilla Atletico played?
Atlético Paso vs Sevilla Atletico is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Paso and Sevilla Atletico

Ready to know everything about football?