Ciudad de Lucena vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, Lucena
The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Xerez?
On Elo ratings, Ciudad de Lucena has 1,969 points and Xerez 1,898.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ciudad de Lucena vs Xerez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ciudad de Lucena
Not enough data to predict the Ciudad de Lucena lineup.
Xerez
Not enough data to predict the Xerez lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Lucena have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Xerez have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ciudad de Lucena wins, 2 draws, 1 Xerez win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Xerez 0-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 1, 2024 | Ciudad de Lucena 0-0 Xerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Xerez 1-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Xerez 0-1 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Ciudad de Lucena 2-1 Xerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Xerez 3-0 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Lucena score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Xerez | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciudad de Lucena sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 6 matches) and Xerez sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ciudad de Lucena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 13 | Xerez | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Ciudad de Lucena vs Xerez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Lucena vs Xerez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Xerez played?
- Ciudad de Lucena vs Xerez is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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