Match

Sanluqueño vs Don Benito: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda

SanluqueñoDon Benito

The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanluqueño vs Don Benito?

Don Benito starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,752).

Sanluqueño win30 %
Draw30 %
Don Benito win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanluqueño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Villarreal II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Teruel(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 9, 2026Algeciras(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Ibiza(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Alcorcon(home)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Don Benito
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Moralo(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026Diocesano(home)8-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026Villafranca(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026Jerez(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026Santa Amalia(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sanluqueño win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Don Benito win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 26, 2020Sanluqueño 0-0 Don BenitoPrimera División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 7, 2019Don Benito 1-1 SanluqueñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Sanluqueño vs Don Benito on Jan 26, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sanluqueño0.51.545/155/15
Don Benito2.10.766/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18Don Benito346820305126

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Don Benito?
The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Sanluqueño.
Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Don Benito played?
Sanluqueño vs Don Benito is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sanluqueño and Don Benito

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