Atletico Pilar vs Defensores Glew: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 13Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Defensores Glew the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Atletico Pilar. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Pilar vs Defensores Glew?
Defensores Glew starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Pilar have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Defensores Glew have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | SAT Moreno(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Provincial(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Juventud de Bernal(away) | 2-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Estrella de Berisso(home) | 1-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nautico Hacoaj(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Provincial(away) | 4-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Estrella de Berisso(home) | 4-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Metalurgico(away) | 3-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 2, 2026 | SAT Moreno(home) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Juventud de Bernal(away) | 5-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Atletico Pilar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Defensores Glew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Defensores Glew 5-0 Atletico Pilar | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Defensores Glew 4-1 Atletico Pilar | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Atletico Pilar 0-2 Defensores Glew | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Defensores Glew 3-1 Atletico Pilar | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Atletico Pilar 3-3 Defensores Glew | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Defensores Glew vs Atletico Pilar on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Pilar score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores Glew score 2.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Pilar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Defensores Glew | 2.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Pilar sit 15th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (8 points from 12 matches) and Defensores Glew sit 4th (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Defensores Glew | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Defensores Glew | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Atletico Pilar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Atletico Pilar | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Pilar vs Defensores Glew?
- The Footlab model makes Defensores Glew the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Atletico Pilar.
- Where and when is Atletico Pilar vs Defensores Glew played?
- Atletico Pilar vs Defensores Glew is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 8, 2026Uribelarrea1-3Buenos Aires City
- Aug 9, 2026Belgrano Zarate0-1Control Orientado
- Aug 9, 2026Alumni Los Hornos0-2Barrancas UMET
- Aug 27, 2026Las MandarinasvsEzeiza
- Aug 29, 2026Juventud de BernalvsEstrella de Berisso
- Aug 29, 2026Nautico HacoajvsProvincial
- Aug 29, 2026SAT MorenovsDeportivo Metalurgico