SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 13Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes SAT Moreno the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Deportivo Metalurgico. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate SAT Moreno (1,784) and Deportivo Metalurgico (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SAT Moreno have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Metalurgico have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Atletico Pilar(home) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Juventud de Bernal(away) | 3-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nautico Hacoaj(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Defensores Glew(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Provincial(home) | 3-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventud de Bernal(home) | 7-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nautico Hacoaj(away) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Defensores Glew(home) | 0-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Provincial(away) | 5-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Estrella de Berisso(home) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 SAT Moreno win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Metalurgico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Deportivo Metalurgico 1-0 SAT Moreno | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Deportivo Metalurgico 1-1 SAT Moreno | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| May 12, 2024 | SAT Moreno 4-1 Deportivo Metalurgico | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Metalurgico vs SAT Moreno on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SAT Moreno score 1.6 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Metalurgico score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAT Moreno | 1.6 | 0.3 | 11 | 1/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportivo Metalurgico | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SAT Moreno sit 1st in Torneo Promocional Amateur (30 points from 12 matches) and Deportivo Metalurgico sit 3rd (28 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAT Moreno | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 30 |
| 2 | SAT Moreno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico?
- The Footlab model makes SAT Moreno the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Deportivo Metalurgico.
- Where and when is SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico played?
- SAT Moreno vs Deportivo Metalurgico is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.