Match

Las Mandarinas vs Ezeiza: prediction and stats

Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 13Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)

Las MandarinasEzeiza

The Footlab model makes Ezeiza the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Las Mandarinas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Mandarinas vs Ezeiza?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Las Mandarinas (1,658) and Ezeiza (1,694).

Las Mandarinas win26 %
Draw27 %
Ezeiza win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Las Mandarinas have 4 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ezeiza have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Mandarinas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Alumni Los Hornos(home)1-2Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 11, 2026Everton La Plata(away)1-0Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 3, 2026Barrancas UMET(away)1-1Torneo Promocional Amateur
Jul 26, 2026Buenos Aires City(home)0-1Torneo Promocional Amateur
Jul 18, 2026Belgrano Zarate(away)1-1Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Belgrano Zarate(home)3-1Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 18, 2026Uribelarrea(away)2-2Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 12, 2026Alumni Los Hornos(home)2-6Torneo Promocional Amateur
Aug 4, 2026Everton La Plata(home)0-0Torneo Promocional Amateur
Jul 30, 2026Barrancas UMET(away)0-1Torneo Promocional Amateur

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Las Mandarinas win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ezeiza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 12, 2026Ezeiza 1-2 Las MandarinasTorneo Promocional Amateur

Last archived meeting: Ezeiza vs Las Mandarinas on Jun 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Mandarinas score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 13; Ezeiza score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Mandarinas0.91.237/135/13
Ezeiza0.91.266/156/15

Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Mandarinas sit 13th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (14 points from 13 matches) and Ezeiza sit 11th (17 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Ezeiza2011021
9Las Mandarinas3003160
11Ezeiza13454141717
13Las Mandarinas13427121614

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Mandarinas vs Ezeiza?
The Footlab model makes Ezeiza the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Las Mandarinas.
Where and when is Las Mandarinas vs Ezeiza played?
Las Mandarinas vs Ezeiza is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Las Mandarinas and Ezeiza

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