Juventud de Bernal vs Estrella de Berisso: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 13Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Estrella de Berisso the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Juventud de Bernal. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventud de Bernal vs Estrella de Berisso?
Estrella de Berisso starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud de Bernal have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Estrella de Berisso have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Metalurgico(away) | 0-7 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SAT Moreno(home) | 0-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Atletico Pilar(home) | 2-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nautico Hacoaj(away) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Defensores Glew(home) | 0-5 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Nautico Hacoaj(home) | 2-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Defensores Glew(away) | 0-4 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Provincial(home) | 5-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Pilar(away) | 2-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportivo Metalurgico(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Juventud de Bernal win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Estrella de Berisso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Estrella de Berisso 1-2 Juventud de Bernal | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Juventud de Bernal 0-3 Estrella de Berisso | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Estrella de Berisso 3-0 Juventud de Bernal | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Estrella de Berisso vs Juventud de Bernal on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventud de Bernal score 0.4 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella de Berisso score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud de Bernal | 0.4 | 2.9 | 0 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrella de Berisso | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventud de Bernal sit 17th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (4 points from 12 matches) and Estrella de Berisso sit 12th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Estrella de Berisso | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Juventud de Bernal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 | Estrella de Berisso | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 14 |
| 17 | Juventud de Bernal | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventud de Bernal vs Estrella de Berisso?
- The Footlab model makes Estrella de Berisso the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Juventud de Bernal.
- Where and when is Juventud de Bernal vs Estrella de Berisso played?
- Juventud de Bernal vs Estrella de Berisso is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.