Atlético Tordesillas vs Numancia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Salinas, Tordesillas
The Footlab model makes Atlético Tordesillas the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Numancia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Numancia?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Atlético Tordesillas (1,919) and Numancia (1,942).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Tordesillas have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Numancia have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Tordesillas score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Tordesillas | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Numancia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Tordesillas vs Numancia?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Tordesillas the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Numancia.
- Where and when is Atlético Tordesillas vs Numancia played?
- Atlético Tordesillas vs Numancia is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Salinas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.