A Madrid III vs CF Talavera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, Majadahonda
The Footlab AI model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for CF Talavera. The most likely score is 1-1. If A Madrid III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A Madrid III vs CF Talavera?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate A Madrid III (1,873) and CF Talavera (1,900).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for A Madrid III vs CF Talavera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
A Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.
CF Talavera
Not enough data to predict the CF Talavera lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A Madrid III have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; CF Talavera have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
A Madrid III score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CF Talavera score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Madrid III | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| CF Talavera | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A Madrid III sit 2nd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (14 points from 7 matches) and CF Talavera sit 7th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | A Madrid III | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
A question about A Madrid III vs CF Talavera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A Madrid III vs CF Talavera?
- The Footlab AI model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for CF Talavera.
- Where and when is A Madrid III vs CF Talavera played?
- A Madrid III vs CF Talavera is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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