Conquense vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Conquense (1,910) and RSD Alcalá (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Conquense win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 RSD Alcalá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Conquense 2-1 RSD Alcalá | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | RSD Alcalá 2-1 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 19, 2021 | RSD Alcalá 0-0 Conquense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Conquense vs RSD Alcalá on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| RSD Alcalá | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conquense sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (60 points from 34 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 60 |
| 6 | RSD Alcalá | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?
- The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is Conquense vs RSD Alcalá played?
- Conquense vs RSD Alcalá is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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