Match

Conquense vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca

ConquenseRSD Alcalá

The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?

On Elo ratings, Conquense has 1,882 points and RSD Alcalá 1,804.

61%24%15%
Conquense winDrawRSD Alcalá win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Conquense vs RSD Alcalá

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Conquense

Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.

RSD Alcalá

4-3-3
  1. 10Izan
  2. 23I. Robledo
  3. 19N. Sanchez
  1. 11Javi Hernández
  2. 7J. Arribas
  3. 8S. Marcos
  1. 22D. Nieto
  2. 15Chete
  3. 4H. Torres
  4. 12M. Lopez
  1. 1I. Gil

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Conquense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Albacete II(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026A Madrid III(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Navalcarnero(away)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Salamanca UDS(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Navalcarnero(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)5-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026Guadalajara(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Conquense win, 1 draw, 1 RSD Alcalá win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 11, 2026Conquense 2-1 RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 14, 2025RSD Alcalá 2-1 ConquenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Aug 19, 2021RSD Alcalá 0-0 ConquenseFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Conquense vs RSD Alcalá on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Conquense1.41.157/157/15
RSD Alcalá1.51.267/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Conquense sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (10 points from 5 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Conquense531110710
10RSD Alcalá520310106

A question about Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Conquense vs RSD Alcalá?
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is Conquense vs RSD Alcalá played?
Conquense vs RSD Alcalá is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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