Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa
The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Atlético Paso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navalcarnero wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,374 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
On Elo ratings, Navalcarnero has 1,950 points and Atlético Paso 1,892.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Navalcarnero
4-3-3- 11M. Jimenez
- 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
- 24A. Altube Suarez
- 14Javi Bueno
- 21I. Perera
- 15J. Cruz
- 6R. de Souza
- 5A. Espinola
- 3Juanmi
- 19A. Aunon
- 1A. Calado
Atlético Paso
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Paso lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 09:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Paso have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Navalcarnero wins, 3 draws, 1 Atlético Paso win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Navalcarnero 1-0 Atlético Paso | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Atlético Paso 1-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Navalcarnero 1-1 Atlético Paso | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Atlético Paso 0-0 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 14, 2023 | Navalcarnero 2-0 Atlético Paso | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Atlético Paso 2-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Navalcarnero score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Paso score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlético Paso | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Navalcarnero sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (12 points from 8 matches) and Atlético Paso sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Navalcarnero | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlético Paso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Atlético Paso.
- Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso played?
- Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026A Madrid IIIvsCF Talavera
- Nov 1, 2026Real Valladolid IIvsGetafe II
- Nov 1, 2026Atlético TordesillasvsNumancia
- Nov 1, 2026Salamanca UDSvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Nov 1, 2026Real ÁvilavsReal Madrid III
- Nov 1, 2026Calvo SotelovsGuadalajara
- Nov 1, 2026ConquensevsRSD Alcalá
- Nov 1, 2026SS ReyesvsAlbacete II