Salamanca UDS vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca
The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salamanca UDS vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Salamanca UDS (1,877) and Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca UDS have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Salamanca UDS win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Salamanca UDS | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Salamanca UDS 1-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 Salamanca UDS | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Salamanca UDS 0-0 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Salamanca UDS on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca UDS | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salamanca UDS vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
- The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
- Where and when is Salamanca UDS vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
- Salamanca UDS vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.