Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, San Miguel de Tucumán, Provincia de Tucumán
The Footlab model makes Atletico Tucuman the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Rosario Central. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Atletico Tucuman (1,859) and Rosario Central (1,954).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Tucuman have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Rosario Central have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 4-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atletico Tucuman win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Rosario Central win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Rosario Central 2-1 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Rosario Central 3-1 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Rosario Central 1-0 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Rosario Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Rosario Central 0-0 Atletico Tucuman | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Tucuman score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rosario Central score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Rosario Central | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Tucuman sit 13th in Liga Profesional Argentina (14 points from 16 matches) and Rosario Central sit 4th (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Atletico Tucuman | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Tucuman the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Rosario Central.
- Where and when is Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central played?
- Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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