Match

Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza

Independ. RivadaviaTigre

The Footlab AI model makes Independ. Rivadavia the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Tigre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Independ. Rivadavia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Independ. Rivadavia starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (2,020 vs 1,889).

56%24%20%
Independ. Rivadavia winDrawTigre win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Independ. Rivadavia

4-3-1-2
  1. 17M. Salas
  2. 43F. Sartori
  1. 25J. Florentín
  2. 10M. Fernández
  3. 5T. Bottari
  4. 77L. Sequeira
  1. 2L. Costa
  2. 3J. Elordi
  3. 42S. Studer
  4. 14L. Gómez
  1. 30Nicolás Bolcato

Tigre

4-4-2
  1. 29I. Russo
  2. 30J. Dómina
  1. 10J. Saralegui
  2. 22S. López
  3. 27S. González
  4. 5B. Leyes
  1. 20A. Barrionuevo
  2. 4V. Moreno
  3. 32J. Villalba
  4. 2J. Laso
  1. 12F. Zenobio

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independ. Rivadavia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tigre have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Independ. Rivadavia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Gimnasia L.P.(home)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 21, 2026Barracas Central(away)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 16, 2026Atletico Tucuman(home)1-1Copa Argentina
Sep 12, 2026Aldosivi(home)4-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2026River Plate(away)1-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Tigre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Argentinos JRS(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 21, 2026Velez Sarsfield(away)2-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 13, 2026Rosario Central(home)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 5, 2026Gimnasia L.P.(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 1, 2026Barracas Central(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Independ. Rivadavia wins, 1 draw, 1 Tigre win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Independ. Rivadavia 1-0 TigreCopa Argentina
Apr 2, 2026Tigre 0-2 Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2025Tigre 1-3 Independ. RivadaviaCopa Argentina
Aug 22, 2025Tigre 1-1 Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
Feb 15, 2025Independ. Rivadavia 1-4 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
Dec 9, 2024Tigre 0-2 Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre on Jun 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Independ. Rivadavia score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tigre score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Independ. Rivadavia1.31.159/156/15
Tigre1.01.157/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Independ. Rivadavia sit 5th in Liga Profesional Argentina (18 points from 11 matches) and Tigre sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Independ. Rivadavia11533151418
11Tigre11335101112

A question about Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre?
The Footlab AI model makes Independ. Rivadavia the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Tigre.
Where and when is Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre played?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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