Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Defensa Y Justicia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Defensa Y Justicia (1,802) and Instituto Cordoba (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensa Y Justicia have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Instituto Cordoba have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lanus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Defensa Y Justicia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Instituto Cordoba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Instituto Cordoba 4-1 Defensa Y Justicia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jun 7, 2014 | Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 Instituto Cordoba | Primera Nacional |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Instituto Cordoba 1-1 Defensa Y Justicia | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 14, 2013 | Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Instituto Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Defensa Y Justicia score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Instituto Cordoba score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Instituto Cordoba | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Defensa Y Justicia sit 10th in Liga Profesional Argentina (19 points from 16 matches) and Instituto Cordoba sit 9th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba?
- The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Defensa Y Justicia.
- Where and when is Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba played?
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Racing ClubvsIndependiente
- Oct 18, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsGimnasia M.
- Oct 18, 2026Belgrano CordobavsRiver Plate
- Oct 18, 2026HuracanvsGimnasia L.P.
- Oct 18, 2026BanfieldvsArgentinos JRS
- Oct 18, 2026Estudiantes L.P.vsSan Lorenzo
- Oct 18, 2026Boca JuniorsvsTalleres Cordoba
- Oct 18, 2026Atletico TucumanvsRosario Central